Rates
Update - News On Your Rates
California’s
failed experiment with electricity deregulation has received tremendous media
coverage throughout the country. Many of our members are concerned about the
effects California’s problems will have on Salem Electric’s rates for
electricity. Salem Electric’s rates will be increasing, and the increase will
probably be substantial. While California’s mistakes will make a healthy
contribution to that increase, their problems are not the only ones causing
rates in the Northwest to go up.
California’s
mistakes, resulting in enormous increases in the market rates, affect the
Northwest because we buy from the same market. Although Salem Electric buys all
of its power from the Bonneville Power Administration—BPA often has to augment
its resources with power from the market. This winter they have been paying
prices far above historic market prices upon which they have based their cost
projections.
There
are other issues causing increases in BPA’s operating costs and therefore,
increases in the price they will charge us for power. Electricity deregulation
gained momentum in the Northwest during a brief period when market rates were
lower than the cost-based rates charged by BPA. During that time some of BPA’s
full-requirements customers removed up to 30% of their load from BPA so that
they could purchase power from the market. While some savings were achieved
early on, the market soon returned to normal with BPA’s cost-based rates again
below market rates. All of BPA’s utility contracts expire this fall. Virtually
all of those who took part of their load away are opting to put it back on BPA
and power must be found to meet those returning loads.
BPA
projected, in December, that runoff would be 75 percent of normal this winter.
The actual number, through mid January, has been 68 percent. Less water behind
the dams means more purchases of power from the market and a substantial
increase in BPA’s cost.
What
does this mean for Salem Electric’s ratepayers? We don’t know yet. A few months
ago BPA projected a minimal increase for this fall. Since that time their
estimates have increased dramatically. An increase of 50% or more in BPA’s
wholesale rates is not out of the question. That would mean an approximate 25%
or greater increase in the rates Salem Electric charges its members. This
number is subject to change on an almost minute-by-minute basis. If the
remaining winter weather gets and stays wet — it could go down. If it remains
dry, it could go up. The same goes for deregulation related issues. Continuing
problems in California could further affect our rates.
We
will keep you updated as the year progresses. Soon our website will include
more current information on this issue. If you have any questions, give us a
call.

Robert J. Speckman
General Manager
February
2001
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